The dashboard shows a live position and a running total. This explains what each figure is, how the trade works, and the conditions the numbers are counted under. It is the same explanation we use internally.
A short is opened against a local rise and closed when the price comes back. The part that matters: the short is covered at all times by a spot stack in the same asset, and it never exceeds the ETH we already hold.
So this is not a bet on the market falling. It earns from the market moving, while staying in the asset throughout.
The account opened with 50 ETH on 1 June 2026 and has taken no capital since. The base is fixed and is not revised, so every increase in the stack was produced by the strategy rather than by adding money.
The contract is inverse: both the collateral and the result are denominated in ETH rather than in dollars. Profit arrives in the coin and goes straight into the stack.
"Up X% in coin" therefore describes a larger number of coins and does not depend on the exchange rate. The dollar view is shown separately and moves with the market, as it should.
Entry is checked in a few fixed slots each day. These are windows in which an entry is possible, not a rate of trading: a new position opens only once the previous one has closed, so actual entries are far rarer than windows.
The position is taken in one go and is never added to afterwards.
Exposure at entry is 62% of the spot stack.
The remaining 38% is not a reserve for adding more. It is room for exposure to grow on its own: in an inverse contract the exposure measured in coin is inversely proportional to price, so it rises as the price falls without any trade being placed.
The main exit is a take-profit 3.5% below the entry price. The profit is denominated in ETH and stays in the stack, which enlarges the base for the next trade.
There is a second exit, described under risk below.
The short never exceeds the spot stack. At the limit the book is market-neutral, no uncovered short can arise, and a fully covered inverse short has no forced-liquidation path on margin. The share of the stack currently committed is shown on the dashboard.
A stuck position is closed by the clock. A position can get stuck: the price has run up and the take-profit is out of reach. When the trend is confirmed as rising, no further build is possible, and the position has been in that state for more than 26 days, it is closed and re-entry is blocked while the trend holds.
These exits are usually losses. That is the price of putting a limit on how long capital sits idle, and they are counted in the statistics exactly like the profitable ones, marked in the history as closed by the clock.
Funding on a perpetual contract settles every eight hours. When the rate is positive the short side receives it. The amounts are small and on average work in favour of the short side.
| Figure | What it is |
|---|---|
| Stack, ETH | The current number of coins. The headline number: growth in coin does not depend on the exchange rate. |
| Return, coin | The stack against the 50 ETH it started from. Realised, so it excludes the unrealised result of an open position. |
| Funding, ETH | Funding accumulated on the account, received in ETH. |
| Notional | The size of the short in dollars. |
| Entry, Target | The average entry price and the take-profit price of the open position. |
| Unrealised, ETH | What the open position is worth right now, before it closes. |
| Short vs stack | The share of the stack committed to the short at the current price. It rises as the price falls, with no trade placed, and the limit holds it below 100%. |
| Time in position | How much of the elapsed time the account has held a position at all. |
| Result, ETH | Per trade, the outcome including fees and funding. Losses are shown alongside wins, not filtered out. |
Prices come from OKX public data for the ETH-USD-SWAP contract. Each trade includes a round-trip fee of 0.04% and the funding accrued while it was open.
A take-profit close is counted at the target price, that is, on limit-order logic. Slippage is not modelled separately. No capital has been added, so the return is not diluted by contributions.
The count runs from 1 June 2026. That is a short window against a market cycle. It shows how the strategy behaves in one particular set of conditions and is not a basis for extrapolation.
If you want the argument about whether a record like this means anything at all, it is in the rest of the notebook.