Isochrons
Capital
Home
About
Lab Notebook
Letters
Dashboard
Access
How we check our own work
Reporting restarted August 2026
·
Invert
Lab Notebook
Records only.
All
Records
Methods
24 Aug 2026
A result we could not explain, and what we did with it
A number without a mechanism is not a finding.
Records
21 Aug 2026
We stopped saving cash for dips
Waiting for a dip paid half a per cent less per coin and bought far fewer of them.
Records
18 Aug 2026
Who writes this column, and when
The dashboard was wrong by 4.6% and nothing was broken.
Records
14 Aug 2026
Three failures that would have passed without a sound
Removing a feature does not remove the assumptions built on it.
Records
11 Aug 2026
Position size: measured, not interpolated
We had been sizing by judgement. So we measured it instead.
Records
01 Aug 2026
We closed the bitcoin leg
The same strategy on a second asset did not survive the same audit.
Records
29 Jul 2026
The correction we predicted backwards
We knew both facts and reasoned from the easier one.
Records
29 Jul 2026
Eleven mistakes in one day, none of them arithmetic
Every number computed correctly, every conclusion wrong.
Records
29 Jul 2026
38.6 years of somebody else's history
Our nine years are our own data. So we went looking for someone else's.
Records
29 Jul 2026
Where the value in the trade actually sits
We split nine years into stages to see which part earns.
Records
28 Jul 2026
How long it takes to notice a strategy has died
We asked how long the edge could be gone before we could tell.
Records
28 Jul 2026
We tried to break the strategy with a price stop
We swept every stop level we could justify. The best one never fires.
Records
28 Jul 2026
We paid for our own search
We tested every configuration our parameters allow, not the one we liked.
Records
20 Jul 2026
We stopped reading candles at entry
We hunted exhaustion patterns for a year. Measured, it had stopped mattering.
Records
19 Jul 2026
We removed averaging down
For a year we scaled into losers and called it conviction.
Records
02 Jul 2026
The position that sat still for 284 days
Our worst historical case of getting stuck, and what it actually cost.
Records